Pay attention to the new book "Anger" of the US reporter of the U.S. military "North Korean attack plan"

Bob Woodward of the Washington Post has published a new book, Rage.There is a statement that the United States examined the US -Korea joint strategy plan in detail in 2017 in preparation for North Korea.According to multiple relationships, it will attack 700 North Korea's strategic goals 30 minutes after the war starts.

According to RAGE, North Korea fired an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) "Mars 14" (about 13,000 km) on the night of July 28, 2017.Immediately after, the U.S. Strategic Command in Omaha, Nebraska, examined the US -Korea joint operation plan 5027 in detail.

The book is "US response to attacks including the use of 80 nuclear weapons" (The U).S.Response to An Attack That Could Include The USE OF 80 Nucle Weapons).

However, there are several strategies with North Korea in mind.If you refer to the testimony of multiple relationships, the "5027" pointed out by the book is actually the latest strategy plan, 5015.The 5027 is a large -scale land battle like the Korean War.In the event of an emergency, a total of 690,000 reinforcements from the mainland of the U.S. were sought.It is extremely unlikely that the 5027 battle will occur with the North Korean army, which is usually aging for weapons.

When North Korea succeeded in the third nuclear test in February 2013, the United States and South Korea began a full revision of 5027.In the third nuclear test, North Korea analyzed that the nuclear warhead could be miniaturized to 1 ton or less.It has been judged that nuclear warheads can now be mounted on a short -range ballistic missile, which captures the entire country in Korea.

The U.S. military in Korea first promoted the introduction of a high altitude missile intercept system (THAAD) to strengthen ballistic missile defense with North Korea in mind.At the same time, the Korean army decided to create a new strategy plan, 5015, focusing on preventing the ballistic missile attack by the North Korean army.

According to one of the relationships, the attacks drawn by 5015 are as follows.

About 700 locations, including a missile launch base, a radar base, and the North -South military border within 30 minutes after grasping the signs of ballistic missile launches by North KoreaAttack strategic goals.It is assumed to be attacked by cruise missiles, long -distance bombers, and unmanned aircraft.We do not expect long -term ground battles, and aim to end the battle within 5 days after the operation started.It is also assumed that various battles from normal to war, such as local battles and anti -terrorism battles, are also assumed.

In conjunction with 5015, the Park Geun -hye administration at the time decided to introduce the Kirchain strategy of the Korean army, which attacked the first strike when there were signs of North Korea's attack, and aimed to realize it until the early 2020s.

Meanwhile, the US and South Korea have verified 5015 in large -scale command offices using computers performed every summer.There are also United Nations in the United Nations at the time of the Korean War, such as the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia, but some countries may "attack when the opponent does not show signs of attacks).There was a concern that there was.

Looking at the description of Rage, the United States determined that North Korea could fire ballistic missiles in 2017, and was seriously considering the trigger of 5015.

The United States has been conducting an expansion deterrent discussion, including "nuclear umbrellas," in preparation for Japan and South Korea in February 2010 and in March 2011.In a series of discussions, the United States has aimed to build a trusting relationship in which the United States will always have a nuclear retaliation attack if Japan -Korea is attacked, but has revealed specific nuclear attacks to both countries.Not.

Based on the description of RAGE, the United States Pentagon estimates 80 nuclear weapons held by North Korea, apart from the 5015, a US -South Korea joint strategy plan, how to retaliate if North Korea appears in nuclear attacks.・ It is likely that the US's unique plan to fight back was also considered.

■ Tension of the situation in the North Korean situation, then Japan asks Konomae's Chief

――The recent published, “The General Chief of Staff, my leader's knowledge” (WAC Publishing) looks back on the situation at that time.

Since around 2016, North Korea has repeatedly launched ballistic missiles and nuclear tests, and the situation is nervous.In October 2016, he held a Japan -US -Korea -Korea Chief of Staff in Washington, but the purpose was to share information about North Korea and share awareness.When the Trump administration was launched in 2017, a "word exchange" began with North Korea.

At a Japan -US summit meeting in April 2017, President Trump said, "All options are on the table."It means that there is a military option.

In July 2017, he visited Washington to attend the symposium, but the Danford U.S. Chief of Staff contacted the Danford's Chief of Staff.

"I'm nervous about the Korean Peninsula. I want to cooperate in Japan and the United States in the future," said Danford.He did not have a specific explanation, but said, "If the political decision is going down, it will inform you in advance."I understood that "situation" is "a situation in which military options are exercised."

When I returned to Japan, I started gymnastics with my head.If the United States exercises military options, it is highly likely that if left unattended, Japan will be attacked.In that case, we simulated what could be done with the current legislation and what would happen to the command and order system.

However, it was not decided that the U.S. military would exercise military options, so I only studied personal research.He did not instruct or report to the Ministry of Defense, the Self -Defense Force or the Prime Minister's Office.

―― Woodward's Rage introduces various intimidating acts by the US military to North Korea.

Strategic bomber B1B and Ohio -class nuclear submarines with special submersions for special units and special submarines for invasion have expanded them on the Korean Peninsula and the Sea of Japan, and conducted joint training with the SDF and the South Korean Army.Everything would be a threat to North Korea.It was the first time that three US military nuclear carriers entered the Sea of Japan in November 2017.

At that time, I remember that I had talked with Danford once a few days on the phone and exchanged information.The rest was up to North Korea.The only question of whether they made the calculation and whether or not they would go over the "Redline" set by the United States.However, the United States did not explain to us what "Redline" is.

I think that North Korea switched to dialogue from 2018 was the result of these military pressure more effective than the international sanctions.

――Did the US military share a plan to use nuclear weapons with the SDF?

At least, the US -Japan joint operation plan is assumed that nuclear deterrence is effective.

The most important thing in the Korean Peninsula is to prevent major damage in the Tokyo metropolitan area, including Seoul.As a military option, the U.S. military will consider crushing North Korea's military base as soon as possible, but basically not considering the use of nuclear weapons.

In November 2016, under the Park Geun -hye administration, he signed a military information comprehensive protection agreement (GSOMIA) in Japan and South Korea.At that time, the Park administration had a political crisis, but made a decision based on the severe North Korean situation.Japan and South Korea exchanged information, focusing on post -analysis of ballistic missiles launched by North Korea.The launch point was South Korea, and the landing point was close to Japan, so it was useful in grasping the skills of missiles.

On the other hand, when the US military deployed strategic bombers and aircraft carriers near the Korean Peninsula in 2017, Japan and South Korea conducted jointly with the US military.There was no story about Japan -US -Korea joint training.The Bunja Tora administration, which was launched in May 2017, may have been cautious about the Japanese -US -Korea framework.

――It has been difficult to create an alternative measure for the Aegis Ashore system, Aegis Ashore, which was decided to be introduced in December 2017.

From around the spring of 2017, there were voices saying, "Is the Japanese missile defense system OK?"

Since then, North Korea has not abandoned one missile or one nuclear bomb.North Korea's threat has not changed, but I wonder where the sense of crisis went.